Hybris CoE Strategic Analysis 14: The Kerch Strait skirmish: a Law of the Sea perspective

by Dmitry Gorenburg - January 4, 2019

“The November 25 naval skirmish between Russian and Ukrainian forces in the Kerch Strait highlighted the fraught legal status of the strait and the Azov Sea, a status that Russia has been exploiting in recent months to exert political and economic pressure on Ukraine” writes Dmitry Gorenburg, a Senior Research Scientist in the Strategy, Policy, Plans, and Programs… Read more


Hybrid CoE Strategic Analysis 13: Going Beyond Resilience. A revitalised approach to countering hybrid threats

by Heine Sørensen & Dorthe Bach Nyemann - January 8, 2019

“Whereas resilience is a necessary building block in creating a coherent strategy towards Russia, it is nevertheless insufficient when it comes to deterring Russia from unwanted ads”, writes Heine Sørensen and Dorthe Bach Nyemann from the Institute for Strategy at the Royal Danish Defence College.


Hybrid CoE Strategic Analysis 12: Post-Event Analysis of the Hybrid Threat Security Environment: Assessment of Influence Communication Operations

by Rubén Arcos - November 7, 2018

Besides the attribution challenges posed by covert influence actions, there is a need to develop effective frameworks for assessing and evaluating the effectiveness of overt and covert persuasive communications employed in the hybrid threat security environment, writes Rubén Arcos, lecturer in communication sciences at Rey Juan Carlos University in Madrid.


Hybrid CoE Strategic Analysis 11: Understanding Russia’s Influence in the Western Balkans

by Dimitar Bechev - October 15, 2018

The prospect of a settlement between Athens and Skopje and further expansion of the Atlantic Alliance, as well as the prospect of the EU embarking on membership talks with yet another local country, undercuts Russian influence in the Balkans, writes Dr. Dimitar Bechev, a nonresident senior fellow with the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center.


Hybrid CoE Strategic Analysis 10: Cyberspace – Just another domain of election interference?

by Liisa Past - August 31, 2018

Cyberspace, and particularly election technology, has become a new domain for those who wish to suppress or interfere with the key processes of democratic societies in order to further their own ends, writes Liisa Past, Next Generation Leader at the McCain Institute for International Leadership and former Chief Research Officer at the Cyber Security Branch… Read more


Hybrid CoE Strategic Analysis 9: How to Deter in Cyberspace

by Mariarosaria Taddeo - June 27, 2018

Deterrence in cyberspace is possible, but it requires an effort to develop a new domain-specific framework. Conventional deterrence does not work in cyberspace, as it does not address the global reach, anonymity, distributed and interconnected nature of this domain, writes Dr. Mariarosaria Taddeo, Research Fellow at the Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford.


Hybrid CoE Strategic Analysis 8: Hybrid threats as a new ‘wicked problem’ for early warning

by Patrick Cullen - June 4, 2018

Hybrid threats are designed to blur the distinction between peace and war, as well as complicate and fall below the target’s detection and response thresholds. The wicked problems created by hybrid threats require new solutions for early warning. – writes Patrick Cullen, Senior Research Fellow at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI).


Hybrid CoE Strategic Analysis 7: The resurrection of ‘active measures’: Intelligence services as a part of Russia’s influencing toolbox

by Ivo Juurvee - May 2, 2018

Russia’s Intelligence Services (RIS) are a key instrument in the country’s toolbox of hostile influence exerted abroad. As such, they are no mere ad hoc arrangement by some spy chief, nor a paranoid delusion of the West, but rather an integral function in accordance with Russian legislation and based on a long tradition. Indeed, their… Read more


Hybrid CoE Strategic Analysis 6: Countering Hybrid Threats: Role of Private Sector Increasingly Important – Shared Responsibility Needed

by Jarno Limnéll - March 26, 2018

In many Western countries, 80–90% of all critical infrastructure 
is owned and operated by the private sector. The first line of defence often resides outside of the government and lands squarely on the shoulders of private industry. It is important 
to protect critical infrastructure 
(e.g. energy supply chains, transport, public health), since an unconventional attack… Read more


Hybrid CoE Strategic Analysis 5: Beyond Fake News: Content confusion and understanding the dynamics of the contemporary media environment

by Katja Valaskivi - February 28, 2018

The new Strategic Analysis paper published by Hybrid CoE is discussing the effects of new media technology to civil society. In current media environment, the agreements of the pre-internet time about contents and contexts no longer apply. A piece of news can still be news, but it can also be an advertisement, propaganda, manipulation, PR… Read more